Florida Atlantic
W-L: (33-21) PR = 94.6576Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 8- 0 206 H Ohio State B10 (24-28, 93.8) 10- 6 207 H Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 3 208 H Stonehill NE ( 0- 5, 85.8) 10- 0 208 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 4- 2 213 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 213 H Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 5- 9 214 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 0- 2 214 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 8 215 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 13- 0 217 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 2- 3 219 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 6- 5 220 H Massachusetts MA ( 1- 2, 95.4) 4- 1 220 H Southern Indiana OV ( 0- 3, 87.2) 11- 0 221 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 1 221 H Southern Indiana OV ( 0- 3, 87.2) 7- 1 222 H Massachusetts MA ( 1- 2, 95.4) 5- 1 225 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 5- 9 228 H Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 1 228 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 7- 1 301 A Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 10- 1 301 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 2- 0 301 A Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 10- 1 301 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3-11, 89.5) 2- 0 304 H Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 14- 5 306 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 9- 4 307 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 3 308 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 7- 1 313 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 10- 1 314 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 1- 3 314 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 2- 3 320 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 2- 3 321 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 8-10 322 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 2- 1 325 A FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 10- 2 327 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 5- 6 328 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 8-15 328 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 9- 7 402 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 4-13 402 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 4- 5 403 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 17- 7 410 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 3 411 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 3- 4 412 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 1 415 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 7- 1 417 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1- 9 418 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 9- 3 419 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 5- 1 424 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 10- 1 425 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 7- 4 426 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 3- 4 430 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 0 501 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 2 502 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Indiana 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.83
206 H Ohio State 10- 6 4 2 + 2.45
207 H Wisconsin 4- 3 1 2 -0.57
208 H Stonehill 10- 0 10 10 0.44
208 H Delaware 4- 2 2 4 -1.95
213 H Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.16
213 H Florida State 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.92
214 A Missouri 0- 2 -2 -1 -1.42
214 A Tennessee 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.00
215 H Texas State 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.21
217 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 3 -1 4 -- -5.26
219 H Kansas 6- 5 1 0 0.79
220 H Massachusetts 4- 1 3 0 + 3.02
220 H Southern Indiana 11- 0 11 8 + 2.84
221 H Villanova 9- 1 8 7 0.55
221 H Southern Indiana 7- 1 6 8 - -2.16
222 H Massachusetts 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.02
225 A UCF 5- 9 -4 -2 -1.67
228 H Binghamton 11- 1 10 7 + 2.93
228 A Coastal Carolina 7- 1 6 2 + 3.57
301 A Binghamton 10- 1 9 6 + 3.41
301 H Saint Joseph's 2- 0 2 6 - -3.86
301 A Binghamton 10- 1 9 6 + 3.41
301 H Saint Joseph's 2- 0 2 6 - -3.86
304 H Florida Gulf Coast 14- 5 9 6 + 3.26
306 A Charlotte 9- 4 5 2 + 3.39
307 A Charlotte 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.61
308 A Charlotte 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.39
313 H East Carolina 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.88
314 H East Carolina 1- 3 -2 4 --- -6.12
314 H East Carolina 2- 3 -1 4 -- -5.12
320 A Wichita State 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.26
321 A Wichita State 8-10 -2 -1 -1.26
322 A Wichita State 2- 1 1 -1 1.74
325 A FIU 10- 2 8 1 +++ 6.73
327 A Tarleton State 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.44
328 A Arizona State 8-15 -7 -3 -- -4.47
328 A Penn State 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.05
402 A North Texas 4-13 -9 1 --- -10.46
402 A North Texas 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.46
403 A North Texas 17- 7 10 1 +++ 8.54
410 A South Florida 2- 3 -1 0 -1.47
411 A South Florida 3- 4 -1 0 -1.47
415 H FIU 7- 1 6 3 + 3.24
417 H Tulsa 1- 9 -8 4 --- -11.56
418 H Tulsa 9- 3 6 4 + 2.44
419 H Tulsa 5- 1 4 4 0.44
424 A Memphis 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.54
425 A Memphis 7- 4 3 4 -1.46
426 H Tulsa 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.56
430 A Louisiana 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.30
501 H UAB 3- 2 1 4 - -2.93
502 H UAB 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H East Carolina 1- 3 -2 4 --- -6.12 402 A North Texas 4-13 -9 1 --- -10.46 417 H Tulsa 1- 9 -8 4 --- -11.56 213 H Texas Tech 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.16 214 A Tennessee 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -5.00 217 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 3 -1 4 -- -5.26 314 H East Carolina 2- 3 -1 4 -- -5.12 328 A Arizona State 8-15 -7 -3 -- -4.47 426 H Tulsa 3- 4 -1 4 -- -4.56 502 H UAB 3- 5 -2 4 -- -5.93 221 H Southern Indiana 7- 1 6 8 - -2.16 301 H Saint Joseph's 2- 0 2 6 - -3.86 301 H Saint Joseph's 2- 0 2 6 - -3.86 307 A Charlotte 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.61 327 A Tarleton State 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.44 402 A North Texas 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.46 501 H UAB 3- 2 1 4 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Indiana 8- 0 8 -1 +++ 8.83 215 H Texas State 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.21 325 A FIU 10- 2 8 1 +++ 6.73 403 A North Texas 17- 7 10 1 +++ 8.54 222 H Massachusetts 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.02 308 A Charlotte 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.39 313 H East Carolina 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.88 424 A Memphis 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.54 430 A Louisiana 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.30 206 H Ohio State 10- 6 4 2 + 2.45 220 H Massachusetts 4- 1 3 0 + 3.02 220 H Southern Indiana 11- 0 11 8 + 2.84 228 H Binghamton 11- 1 10 7 + 2.93 228 A Coastal Carolina 7- 1 6 2 + 3.57 301 A Binghamton 10- 1 9 6 + 3.41 301 A Binghamton 10- 1 9 6 + 3.41 304 H Florida Gulf Coast 14- 5 9 6 + 3.26 306 A Charlotte 9- 4 5 2 + 3.39 328 A Penn State 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.05 415 H FIU 7- 1 6 3 + 3.24 418 H Tulsa 9- 3 6 4 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 8- 0 -3.67 15.70 -0.74 0.47 13.97
0 H Ohio State (24-28, 93.8) 10- 6 -6.05 13.32 -0.74 0.47 11.74
0 H Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 3 -6.07 13.30 -0.74 0.47 11.72
0 H Stonehill ( 0- 5, 85.8) 10- 0 -14.06 5.31 -0.74 0.47 4.27
0 H Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 4- 2 -8.45 10.92 -0.74 0.47 9.50
0 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 0- 8 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.47 -0.33
0 H Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 5- 9 -2.42 16.95 -0.74 0.47 -0.74
0 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 0- 2 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.47 -1.09
0 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 8 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.47 -0.52
0 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 13- 0 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.47 11.52
0 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 2- 3 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.47 -2.22
0 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 6- 5 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.47 12.99
0 H Massachusetts ( 1- 2, 95.4) 4- 1 -4.48 14.89 -0.74 0.47 13.20
3 H Southern India ( 0- 3, 87.2) 11- 0 -12.66 6.71 -0.74 0.47 5.58
3 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 9- 1 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.47 6.23
3 H Southern India ( 0- 3, 87.2) 7- 1 -12.66 6.71 -0.74 0.47 5.58
3 H Massachusetts ( 1- 2, 95.4) 5- 1 -4.48 14.89 -0.74 0.47 13.20
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 5- 9 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.47 -0.68
3 H Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 1 -11.57 7.80 -0.74 0.47 6.59
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 7- 1 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.47 10.92
3 A Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 10- 1 -11.57 7.80 0.74 0.47 7.97
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 2- 0 -10.36 9.01 -0.74 0.47 7.72
3 A Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 10- 1 -11.57 7.80 0.74 0.47 7.97
3 H Saint Joseph's ( 3-11, 89.5) 2- 0 -10.36 9.01 -0.74 0.47 7.72
3 H Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 14- 5 -10.24 9.13 -0.74 0.47 7.83
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 9- 4 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.47 11.68
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 1- 3 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.47 -1.60
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 7- 1 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.47 11.68
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 10- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.47 9.34
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 1- 3 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.47 -2.18
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 2- 3 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.47 -2.18
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 2- 3 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.47 -1.05
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 8-10 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.47 -1.05
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.47 13.88
3 A FIU (32-18, 92.6) 10- 2 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.47 12.00
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 5- 6 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.47 -1.79
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 8-15 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.47 -0.63
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 9- 7 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.47 14.16
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 4-13 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.47 -1.56
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 4- 5 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.47 -1.56
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 17- 7 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.47 11.83
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 3 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.47 -1.33
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 3- 4 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.47 -1.33
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 0- 1 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.47 -1.33
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 7- 1 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.47 10.61
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 1- 9 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.47 -2.05
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 9- 3 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.47 9.86
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 5- 1 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.47 9.86
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 10- 1 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.47 9.03
3 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 7- 4 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.47 9.03
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 3- 4 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.47 -2.05
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 0 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.47 12.54
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 2 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.47 9.52
3 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 3- 5 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.47 -2.14
------
301.79
|
winning pts = 331.2354 losing points = -29.4487
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------